TRADING OPEN

    GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $12.3K

    +$551 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    23¢

    Democrat 75-80%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    Democrat 55-60%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 75-80%
    		23¢23¢
    $792+$26 24h
    		-5¢—
    2
    Democrat 80-85% Hot
    		22¢22¢
    $2.1K+$171 24h
    		-2¢—
    3
    Democrat 70-75%
    		20¢20¢
    $4.5K+$98 24h
    		-5¢—
    4
    Democrat 65-70%
    		18¢18¢
    $1.7K+$100 24h
    		-4¢—
    5
    Democrat 55-60%
    		6¢6¢
    $224+$26 24h
    		-9¢—
    6
    Democrat 45-55%
    		5¢5¢
    $1.1K+$26 24h
    		-1¢—
    7
    Democrat 85%+
    		4¢4¢
    $378+$26 24h
    		-6¢—
    8
    Democrat 60-65%
    		3¢3¢
    $394+$26 24h
    		-6¢—
    9
    Republican Wins
    		3¢3¢
    $489+$26 24h
    		-7¢—
    10
    Democrat 0-45%
    		1¢1¢
    $670+$26 24h
    		-1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 75-80%
    23%
    23¢-5¢
    2Democrat 80-85%
    22%
    22¢-2¢
    3Democrat 70-75%
    20%
    20¢-5¢
    4Democrat 65-70%
    18%
    18¢-4¢
    5Democrat 55-60%
    6¢-9¢
    6Democrat 45-55%
    5¢-1¢
    7Democrat 85%+
    4¢-6¢
    8Democrat 60-65%
    3¢-6¢
    9Republican Wins
    3¢-7¢
    10Democrat 0-45%
    1¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $12.3K

    Whale Activity

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