TRADING OPEN

    French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

    Resolves Apr 18, 2027
    Total Volume

    $66.7K

    +$148 (24h)

    Active Markets

    15

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    54¢

    Dominique de Villepin

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -31¢

    Dominique de Villepin

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    15 markets
    #
    154¢54¢
    $2.3K
    -31¢—
    226¢26¢
    $3.4K
    -2¢—
    319¢19¢
    $2.5K+$51 24h
    -5¢—
    48¢8¢
    $1.4K
    -1¢—
    57¢7¢
    $3.8K
    -1¢—
    66¢6¢
    $3.6K
    -1¢—
    76¢6¢
    $1.1K
    -1¢—
    86¢6¢
    $1.8K
    ——
    94¢4¢
    $2.7K+$50 24h
    -1¢—
    103¢3¢
    $2.0K
    -2¢—
    113¢3¢
    $7.8K
    -1¢—
    123¢3¢
    $10.8K
    -2¢—
    133¢3¢
    $19.6K+$47 24h
    -1¢—
    143¢3¢
    $1.5K
    ——
    152¢2¢
    $2.3K
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Dominique de Villepin
    54%
    54¢-31¢
    2François Hollande
    26%
    26¢-2¢
    3Bernard Cazeneuve
    19%
    19¢-5¢
    4Yaël Braun-Pivet
    8¢-1¢
    5Élisabeth Borne
    7¢-1¢
    6Manuel Bompard
    6¢-1¢
    7Michel Barnier
    6¢-1¢
    8Gérald Darmanin
    6¢—
    9François Bayrou
    4¢-1¢
    10Valérie Pécresse
    3¢-2¢
    11Sébastien Lecornu
    3¢-1¢
    12Jordan Bardella
    3¢-2¢
    13Mathilde Panot
    3¢-1¢
    14Jean Castex
    3¢—
    15Carole Delga
    2¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Apr 18, 2027

    ~180 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    15
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $66.7K

    Whale Activity

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