TRADING OPEN

    Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $13.8K

    +$134 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    23¢

    Moody 6-9%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Moody 15-18%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    123¢23¢
    $2.2K
    -4¢—
    221¢21¢
    $1.1K+$12 24h
    -1¢—
    318¢18¢
    $2.5K
    -1¢—
    412¢12¢
    $1.7K
    -1¢—
    59¢9¢
    $2.7K+$60 24h
    -2¢—
    66¢6¢
    $1.1K
    -3¢—
    75¢5¢
    $918+$61 24h
    ——
    85¢5¢
    $606
    -4¢—
    93¢3¢
    $518
    -1¢—
    101¢1¢
    $387
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Moody 6-9%
    23%
    23¢-4¢
    2Moody 0-3%
    21%
    21¢-1¢
    3Moody 3-6%
    18%
    18¢-1¢
    4Moody 9-12%
    12%
    12¢-1¢
    5Nixon 0-3%
    9¢-2¢
    6Nixon 3%+
    6¢-3¢
    7Moody 12-15%
    5¢—
    8Moody 15-18%
    5¢-4¢
    9Moody 21%+
    3¢-1¢
    10Moody 18-21%
    1¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~29 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $13.8K

    Whale Activity

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