TRADING OPEN

    FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $12.2K

    +$254 (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    26¢

    Republican 5-10%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Republican 10-15%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets
    #
    126¢26¢
    $646
    -1¢—
    224¢24¢
    $5.5K+$20 24h
    -5¢—
    321¢21¢
    $3.3K+$20 24h
    -3¢—
    412¢12¢
    $737+$214 24h
    ——
    58¢8¢
    $287
    -5¢—
    65¢5¢
    $1.2K
    ——
    75¢5¢
    $239
    -1¢—
    83¢3¢
    $295
    -2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 5-10%
    26%
    26¢-1¢
    2Republican 10-15%
    24%
    24¢-5¢
    3Republican 15-20%
    21%
    21¢-3¢
    4Democrat Wins
    12%
    12¢—
    5Republican 20-25%
    8¢-5¢
    6Republican 25-30%
    5¢—
    7Republican 0-5%
    5¢-1¢
    8Republican 30%+
    3¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $12.2K

    Whale Activity

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