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    First Round Outright Winner in the LA-06 House Election?

    The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $16.4K

    +$20 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    98¢

    First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -3¢

    First Round Outright Winner in the LA-06 House Election?

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?
    98%
    98¢—
    2LA-04
    96%
    96¢-2¢
    3First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?
    96%
    96¢-2¢
    4First Round Outright Winner in the LA-03 House Election?
    92%
    92¢-2¢
    5First Round Outright Winner in the LA-06 House Election?
    6¢-3¢
    6First Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election?
    5¢-3¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~29 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $16.4K

    Whale Activity

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