Eurovision Winner 2026

    This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

    Resolves May 16, 2026
    Total Volume

    $112.6M

    +$7.8M (24h)

    Active Markets

    25

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    50¢

    Finland

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Denmark

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    25 markets · Showing 8
    #24H
    150¢50¢51¢
    $5.5M+$296.7K 24h
    +4¢
    2
    Australia📈 Trending
    22¢22¢21¢
    $3.4M+$332.2K 24h
    +4¢
    3
    $4.4M+$204.6K 24h
    -4¢
    4
    Romania📈 Trending
    $3.3M+$330.6K 24h
    +3¢
    5
    $3.5M+$186.1K 24h
    -1¢
    6
    Bulgaria📈 Trending
    $4.1M+$429.7K 24h
    +1¢
    7
    $3.0M+$270.9K 24h
    -5¢
    8
    $4.3M+$169.3K 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Finland
    50%
    50¢+4¢
    2Australia
    22%
    22¢+4¢
    3Greece
    -4¢
    4Romania
    +3¢
    5Israel
    -1¢
    6Bulgaria
    +1¢
    7Denmark
    -5¢
    8Italy
    9France
    -1¢
    10Sweden
    11Croatia
    12Czechia
    13Ukraine
    14Moldova
    15Malta
    -1¢
    16Albania
    17Cyprus
    18Serbia
    19Poland
    20Norway
    21Lithuania
    22Austria
    23Germany
    24United Kingdom
    25Belgium

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~May 16, 2026

    ~1 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    25
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $112.6M

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    bought $108K No on Norway

    polymarket · 22 days ago

    Mega

    bought $100K No on Belgium

    polymarket · 7 days ago

    Mega

    bought $78K No on Serbia

    polymarket · 5 days ago

    Mega

    sold $69K Yes on Finland

    polymarket · 17 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 200.0% in 24h

      Romania · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 36.4% in 24h

      Greece · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 14.3% in 24h

      Croatia · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 48.0% in 24h

      Bulgaria · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 50.0% in 24h

      Italy · Kalshi