Ebola pandemic in 2026?

    1% chance

    Yes1%kalshiYes2¢3¢ after fees
    No99%kalshiNo99¢100¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $890.4K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $42.3K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 1 market

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes1%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    No99%—kalshi99¢100¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Ebola becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publica…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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