TRADING OPEN

    eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026

    Resolves Jan 1, 2028
    Total Volume

    $57.3K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    17

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    95¢

    Above $84 billion

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Above $85.5 billion

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    17 markets
    #
    1
    Above $84 billion
    		95¢95¢
    $3.2K
    		-4¢—
    2
    Above $84.5 billion
    		88¢88¢
    $4.5K
    		-4¢—
    3
    Above $85 billion
    		85¢85¢
    $664
    		-5¢—
    4
    Above $85.5 billion
    		83¢83¢
    $167
    		-5¢—
    5
    Above $86 billion
    		78¢78¢
    $726
    		-5¢—
    6
    Above $86.5 billion
    		75¢75¢
    $1.4K
    		-4¢—
    7
    Above $87 billion
    		69¢69¢
    $2.6K
    		-4¢—
    8
    Above $87.5 billion
    		55¢55¢
    $1.9K
    		-4¢—
    9
    Above $88 billion
    		48¢48¢
    $2.1K
    		-4¢—
    10
    Above $88.5 billion
    		28¢28¢
    $1.3K
    		-4¢—
    11
    Above $89 billion
    		23¢23¢
    $941
    		-5¢—
    12
    Above $89.5 billion
    		21¢21¢
    $330
    		-4¢—
    13
    Above $90 billion
    		19¢19¢
    $85
    		-4¢—
    14
    Above $90.5 billion
    		17¢17¢
    $6.6K
    		-4¢—
    15
    Above $91 billion
    		14¢14¢
    $7.0K
    		-4¢—
    16
    Above $91.5 billion
    		7¢7¢
    $2.6K
    		-4¢—
    17
    Above $92 billion
    		5¢5¢
    $21.2K
    		-2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Above $84 billion
    95%
    95¢-4¢
    2Above $84.5 billion
    88%
    88¢-4¢
    3Above $85 billion
    85%
    85¢-5¢
    4Above $85.5 billion
    83%
    83¢-5¢
    5Above $86 billion
    78%
    78¢-5¢
    6Above $86.5 billion
    75%
    75¢-4¢
    7Above $87 billion
    69%
    69¢-4¢
    8Above $87.5 billion
    55%
    55¢-4¢
    9Above $88 billion
    48%
    48¢-4¢
    10Above $88.5 billion
    28%
    28¢-4¢
    11Above $89 billion
    23%
    23¢-5¢
    12Above $89.5 billion
    21%
    21¢-4¢
    13Above $90 billion
    19%
    19¢-4¢
    14Above $90.5 billion
    17%
    17¢-4¢
    15Above $91 billion
    14%
    14¢-4¢
    16Above $91.5 billion
    7¢-4¢
    17Above $92 billion
    5¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2028

    ~452 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    17
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $57.3K

    Whale Activity

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