TRADING OPEN

    Diesel price on Election Day

    Resolves Nov 2, 2026
    Total Volume

    $162.5K

    +$9.9K (24h)

    Active Markets

    15

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    100¢

    Above $4.60

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -17¢

    Above $6.40

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    15 markets
    #
    1
    Above $4.60
    		100¢100¢
    $1.8K+$1 24h
    		——
    2
    Above $4.40
    		100¢100¢
    $37.5K
    		——
    3
    Above $5.40
    		99¢99¢
    $9.7K
    		——
    4
    Above $5.20
    		99¢99¢
    $3.5K
    		——
    5
    Above $4.80
    		99¢99¢
    $6.3K
    		——
    6
    Above $5.00
    		99¢99¢
    $8.9K
    		——
    7
    Above $5.60
    		98¢98¢
    $7.9K
    		——
    8
    Above $5.80
    		96¢96¢
    $5.5K
    		——
    9
    Above $6.00
    		94¢94¢
    $5.1K+$33 24h
    		+2¢—
    10
    Above $6.20
    		64¢64¢
    $8.6K+$2 24h
    		-17¢—
    11
    Above $6.40
    		27¢27¢
    $8.9K+$1.8K 24h
    		-17¢—
    12
    Above $6.60
    		10¢10¢
    $9.4K+$215 24h
    		-15¢—
    13
    Above $6.80
    		7¢7¢
    $4.3K+$1.1K 24h
    		-2¢—
    14
    Above $7.20
    		2¢2¢
    $23.0K+$5.5K 24h
    		——
    15
    Above $7.00
    		2¢2¢
    $22.3K+$1.2K 24h
    		-1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Above $4.60
    100%
    100¢—
    2Above $4.40
    100%
    100¢—
    3Above $5.40
    99%
    99¢—
    4Above $5.20
    99%
    99¢—
    5Above $4.80
    99%
    99¢—
    6Above $5.00
    99%
    99¢—
    7Above $5.60
    98%
    98¢—
    8Above $5.80
    96%
    96¢—
    9Above $6.00
    94%
    94¢+2¢
    10Above $6.20
    64%
    64¢-17¢
    11Above $6.40
    27%
    27¢-17¢
    12Above $6.60
    10¢-15¢
    13Above $6.80
    7¢-2¢
    14Above $7.20
    2¢—
    15Above $7.00
    2¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 2, 2026

    ~13 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    15
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $162.5K

    Whale Activity

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