TRADING OPEN

    Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

    Resolves Oct 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $113.7K

    +$6.8K (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    41¢

    Gavin Newsom

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +5¢

    Gavin Newsom

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets
    #
    1
    Gavin Newsom📈 Trending
    41¢41¢
    $31.8K+$3.6K 24h
    +5¢—
    230¢30¢
    $53.2K+$1.7K 24h
    -5¢—
    328¢28¢
    $23.5K+$1.3K 24h
    -2¢—
    4
    Kamala Harris📈 Trending
    1¢1¢
    $3.1K
    ——
    51¢1¢
    $2.2K+$197 24h
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Gavin Newsom
    41%
    41¢+5¢
    2Jon Ossoff
    30%
    30¢-5¢
    3Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
    28%
    28¢-2¢
    4Kamala Harris
    1¢—
    5Josh Shapiro
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 31, 2026

    ~10 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $113.7K

    Whale Activity

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