US Election

    Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?

    Jon Ossoff leads by 95 pts

    1. Jon Ossoff#197%
    2. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez#22%
    3. Gavin Newsom#32%
    #4 Josh Shapiro<1%#5 Kamala Harris<1%+1 more
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $27.4K
    24h
    $0
    Candidates
    6
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Jon Ossoff97%
    • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez2%
    • Gavin Newsom2%
    • Josh Shapiro<1%
    • Kamala Harris<1%
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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Jon Ossoff$12.2K vol97%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US99¢99¢ after fees
    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$2.5K vol2%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees
    Gavin Newsom$4.1K vol2%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees
    Josh Shapiro$3.5K vol<1%——
    Kamala Harris$2.8K vol<1%——
    Pete Buttigieg$2.2K vol<1%——

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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