TRADING OPEN

    CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $23.2K

    +$133 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    27¢

    Democrat 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -8¢

    Democrat 45-50%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 35-40%📈 Trending
    		27¢27¢
    $8.1K+$111 24h
    		-6¢—
    2
    Democrat 30-35%
    		18¢18¢
    $2.6K+$2 24h
    		-3¢—
    3
    Democrat 25-30%
    		17¢17¢
    $2.2K+$20 24h
    		-6¢—
    4
    Democrat 20-25% Hot
    		13¢13¢
    $292
    		-5¢—
    5
    Democrat 40-45%
    		8¢8¢
    $4.3K
    		-2¢—
    6
    Democrat 45-50%
    		6¢6¢
    $158
    		-8¢—
    7
    Democrat 0-10%
    		5¢5¢
    $2.4K
    		-3¢—
    8
    Republican Wins
    		5¢5¢
    $204
    		-4¢—
    9
    Democrat 50%+
    		4¢4¢
    $2.8K
    		-2¢—
    10
    Democrat 10-20%
    		3¢3¢
    $121
    		-2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 35-40%
    27%
    27¢-6¢
    2Democrat 30-35%
    18%
    18¢-3¢
    3Democrat 25-30%
    17%
    17¢-6¢
    4Democrat 20-25%
    13%
    13¢-5¢
    5Democrat 40-45%
    8¢-2¢
    6Democrat 45-50%
    6¢-8¢
    7Democrat 0-10%
    5¢-3¢
    8Republican Wins
    5¢-4¢
    9Democrat 50%+
    4¢-2¢
    10Democrat 10-20%
    3¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~12 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $23.2K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...