TRADING OPEN

    CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $17.5K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    32¢

    Democrat 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -13¢

    Democrat 30-35%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 35-40%
    		32¢32¢
    $5.5K
    		——
    2
    Democrat 25-30%
    		20¢20¢
    $544
    		——
    3
    Democrat 30-35%
    		18¢18¢
    $1.4K
    		-13¢—
    4
    Democrat 40-45%
    		11¢11¢
    $4.2K
    		-1¢—
    5
    Democrat 45-50%
    		7¢7¢
    $158
    		-6¢—
    6
    Democrat 20-25%
    		6¢6¢
    $279
    		-4¢—
    7
    Republican Wins
    		5¢5¢
    $204
    		-4¢—
    8
    Democrat 50%+
    		4¢4¢
    $2.7K
    		-2¢—
    9
    Democrat 10-20%
    		3¢3¢
    $121
    		-2¢—
    10
    Democrat 0-10%
    		1¢1¢
    $2.3K
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 35-40%
    32%
    32¢—
    2Democrat 25-30%
    20%
    20¢—
    3Democrat 30-35%
    18%
    18¢-13¢
    4Democrat 40-45%
    11¢-1¢
    5Democrat 45-50%
    7¢-6¢
    6Democrat 20-25%
    6¢-4¢
    7Republican Wins
    5¢-4¢
    8Democrat 50%+
    4¢-2¢
    9Democrat 10-20%
    3¢-2¢
    10Democrat 0-10%
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~29 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $17.5K

    Whale Activity

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