TRADING OPEN

    CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $21.4K

    +$296 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    32¢

    Democrat 25-30%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Democrat 25-30%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    132¢32¢
    $2.7K+$50 24h
    -5¢—
    228¢28¢
    $9.3K+$115 24h
    ——
    323¢23¢
    $3.7K+$25 24h
    ——
    414¢14¢
    $2.1K+$15 24h
    +1¢—
    54¢4¢
    $649+$29 24h
    -2¢—
    64¢4¢
    $1.5K+$15 24h
    -2¢—
    72¢2¢
    $578+$15 24h
    -2¢—
    80¢0¢
    $587+$15 24h
    ——
    90¢0¢
    $384+$15 24h
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 25-30%
    32%
    32¢-5¢
    2Democrat 20-25%
    28%
    28¢—
    3Democrat 30-35%
    23%
    23¢—
    4Democrat 15-20%
    14%
    14¢+1¢
    5Democrat 10-15%
    4¢-2¢
    6Democrat 5-10%
    4¢-2¢
    7Democrat 35%+
    2¢-2¢
    8Republican Wins
    0¢—
    9Democrat 0-5%
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~10 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $21.4K

    Whale Activity

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