TRADING OPEN

    CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $14.7K

    +$210 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    33¢

    Democrat 25-30%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Democrat 25-30%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 25-30%
    		33¢33¢
    $1.7K
    		-5¢—
    2
    Democrat 30-35%
    		22¢22¢
    $1.6K
    		-4¢—
    3
    Democrat 20-25%
    		19¢19¢
    $6.2K+$210 24h
    		-1¢—
    4
    Democrat 15-20%
    		16¢16¢
    $1.8K
    		-1¢—
    5
    Democrat 35%+
    		6¢6¢
    $511
    		——
    6
    Democrat 5-10%
    		4¢4¢
    $1.4K
    		-1¢—
    7
    Democrat 10-15%
    		4¢4¢
    $576
    		-3¢—
    8
    Republican Wins
    		1¢1¢
    $523
    		——
    9
    Democrat 0-5%
    		0¢0¢
    $328
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 25-30%
    33%
    33¢-5¢
    2Democrat 30-35%
    22%
    22¢-4¢
    3Democrat 20-25%
    19%
    19¢-1¢
    4Democrat 15-20%
    16%
    16¢-1¢
    5Democrat 35%+
    6¢—
    6Democrat 5-10%
    4¢-1¢
    7Democrat 10-15%
    4¢-3¢
    8Republican Wins
    1¢—
    9Democrat 0-5%
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~29 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $14.7K

    Whale Activity

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