Celebrities

    CMA Single of the Year 2026

    Choosin’ Texas leads by 91 pts

    1. Choosin’ Texas#196%
    2. I Knew It, I Knew You#25%
    3. Somewhere Over Laredo#31%
    #4 Be Her1%#5 The Fall1%+1 more
    Resolves
    Dec 2, 2026
    Volume
    $28.4K
    24h
    $1.5K
    Liquidity
    $15.4K
    Outcomes
    6
    kalshiPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3 venues · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Choosin’ Texas96%
    • I Knew It, I Knew You5%
    • Somewhere Over Laredo1%
    • Be Her1%
    • The Fall1%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Tie24h
      ▼ 24¢ in 24h
    2. Be Her24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24h

    Every outcome, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Choosin’ Texas$14.1K vol96%—Polymarket US96¢fee unknown
    I Knew It, I Knew You$4.4K vol5%—Polymarket US5¢fee unknown
    Somewhere Over Laredo$5.0K vol1%▼ 1kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    Be Her$1.7K vol1%▼ 3kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    The Fall$807 vol1%▼ 1kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    Tie$2.4K vol1%▼ 24kalshi1¢2¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • I Knew It, I Knew You3¢buy Polymarket US
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Polymarket US
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Choosin’ Texas wins Single of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    CMA Winner: Single of the Year

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year. If a listed single is not officia…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year. If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, December 2, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 3 venues

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