Music

    CMA Musician of the Year 2026

    Paul Franklin leads by 18 pts · 4 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Paul Franklin#150%
    2. Charlie Worsham#232%
    3. Jenee Fleenor#310%
    #4 Rob McNelley6%#5 Tom Bukovac5%+1 more
    Resolves
    Dec 2, 2026
    Volume
    $14.9K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $4.0K
    Outcomes
    6
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US3 venues · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Paul Franklin50%
    • Charlie Worsham32%
    • Jenee Fleenor10%
    • Rob McNelley6%
    • Tom Bukovac5%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Tie24h
      ▼ 80¢ in 24h
    2. Charlie Worsham24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Jenee Fleenor24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiPolymarket US
    4. Rob McNelley24h
      15¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    5. Paul Franklin24h
      4¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Paul Franklin$5.5K vol · 4¢ apart50%▼ 4kalshi52¢54¢ after fees
    Charlie Worsham$6.1K vol32%▼ 5kalshi35¢37¢ after fees
    Jenee Fleenor$3.1K vol10%▼ 5kalshi14¢15¢ after fees
    Rob McNelley$85 vol · 15¢ apart6%▼ 1kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Tom Bukovac$202 vol5%▼ 4kalshi8¢9¢ after fees
    Tie$0 vol2%▼ 80kalshi4¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Rob McNelley15¢buy kalshi
    • Paul Franklin4¢buy kalshi
    • Charlie Worsham3¢buy kalshi
    • Jenee Fleenor2¢buy kalshi
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Polymarket US
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Paul Franklin wins Musician of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed musician who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year. If a listed musician is not of…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    CMA Winner: Musician of the Year

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed musician who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year. If a listed musician is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning musician whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, December 2, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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