Music

    CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026

    I Can’t Love You Anymore leads by 5 pts · 3 outcomes at 5%+

    1. I Can’t Love You Anymore#143%
    2. A Song To Sing#238%
    3. Horses and Divorces#313%
    #4 McArthur5%#5 If I Don’t Leave I’m Gonna Stay4%+1 more
    Resolves
    Dec 2, 2026
    Volume
    $18.5K
    24h
    $31
    Liquidity
    $7.3K
    Outcomes
    6
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US3 venues · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • I Can’t Love You Anymore43%
    • A Song To Sing38%
    • Horses and Divorces13%
    • McArthur5%
    • If I Don’t Leave I’m Gonna Stay4%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Tie24h
      ▼ 73¢ in 24h
    2. A Song To Sing24h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Horses and Divorces24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiPolymarket US

    Every outcome, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    I Can’t Love You Anymore$7.1K vol43%▼ 1kalshi45¢47¢ after fees
    A Song To Sing$7.1K vol38%▼ 7kalshi41¢43¢ after fees
    Horses and Divorces$3.6K vol13%▼ 4kalshi15¢16¢ after fees
    McArthur$351 vol5%▼ 3kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    If I Don’t Leave I’m Gonna Stay$299 vol4%▼ 3Polymarket US6¢fee unknown
    Tie$65 vol3%▼ 73kalshi5¢6¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • I Can’t Love You Anymore3¢buy kalshi
    • A Song To Sing3¢buy kalshi
    • Horses and Divorces2¢buy kalshi
    • McArthur2¢buy kalshi
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Polymarket US
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If I Can’t Love You Anymore wins Musical Event of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year. If a listed collabo…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    CMA Winner: Musical Event of the Year

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year. If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, December 2, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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