Music

    CMA Music Video of the Year 2026

    Choosin’ Texas leads by 41 pts · 4 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Choosin’ Texas#163%
    2. Gary#222%
    3. Dry Spell#38%
    #4 White Horse7%#5 The Fall4%+1 more
    Resolves
    Dec 2, 2026
    Volume
    $20.2K
    24h
    $78
    Liquidity
    $4.2K
    Outcomes
    6
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US3 venues · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Choosin’ Texas63%
    • Gary22%
    • Dry Spell8%
    • White Horse7%
    • The Fall4%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Tie24h
      ▼ 79¢ in 24h
    2. Dry Spell24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. The Fall24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Choosin’ Texas$9.2K vol63%▼ 2kalshi66¢68¢ after fees
    Gary$8.6K vol22%▼ 3Polymarket US27¢fee unknown
    Dry Spell$1.1K vol8%▼ 5kalshi10¢11¢ after fees
    White Horse$509 vol7%▼ 2kalshi8¢9¢ after fees
    The Fall$681 vol4%▼ 4kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Tie$0 vol2%▼ 79kalshi4¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket US
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Choosin’ Texas wins Music Video of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year. If a listed music video…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    CMA Winner: Music Video of the Year

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year. If a listed music video is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning music video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, December 2, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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