Celebrities

    CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026

    Ella Langley leads by 69 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Ella Langley#181%
    2. Lainey Wilson#212%
    3. Miranda Lambert#34%
    #4 Megan Moroney2%#5 Tie2%+1 more
    Resolves
    Dec 2, 2026
    Volume
    $15.4K
    24h
    $16
    Liquidity
    $5.6K
    Outcomes
    6
    kalshiPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3 venues · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Ella Langley81%
    • Lainey Wilson12%
    • Miranda Lambert4%
    • Megan Moroney2%
    • Tie2%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    4 signals
    1. Lainey Wilson24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket USkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Miranda Lambert24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Kacey Musgraves24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24h
    4. Lainey Wilson24h
      8¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Ella Langley$7.6K vol81%—kalshi84¢85¢ after fees
    Lainey Wilson$1.6K vol · 8¢ apart12%▼ 4Polymarket US12¢fee unknown
    Miranda Lambert$4.7K vol4%▼ 3kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Megan Moroney$894 vol2%▼ 1Polymarket US5¢fee unknown
    Tie$0 vol2%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Kacey Musgraves$683 vol2%▼ 3kalshi4¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket US
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Ella Langley wins Female Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    CMA Winner: Female Vocalist of the Year

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, December 2, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 3 venues

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