TRADING OPEN

    Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026

    Resolves Jan 1, 2028
    Total Volume

    $14.3K

    +$3 (24h)

    Active Markets

    14

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    96¢

    Above 780 thousand

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Above 820 thousand

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    14 markets
    #
    196¢96¢
    $510
    -2¢—
    294¢94¢
    $143
    -4¢—
    390¢90¢
    $1.0K
    -4¢—
    486¢86¢
    $337
    -4¢—
    580¢80¢
    $801+$3 24h
    -4¢—
    633¢33¢
    $382
    -4¢—
    725¢25¢
    $2.3K
    -4¢—
    813¢13¢
    $293
    -4¢—
    911¢11¢
    $0
    -4¢—
    109¢9¢
    $6
    -4¢—
    119¢9¢
    $300
    -4¢—
    126¢6¢
    $1.5K
    -4¢—
    136¢6¢
    $3.4K
    -4¢—
    145¢5¢
    $3.3K
    +2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Above 780 thousand
    96%
    96¢-2¢
    2Above 790 thousand
    94%
    94¢-4¢
    3Above 800 thousand
    90%
    90¢-4¢
    4Above 810 thousand
    86%
    86¢-4¢
    5Above 820 thousand
    80%
    80¢-4¢
    6Above 830 thousand
    33%
    33¢-4¢
    7Above 840 thousand
    25%
    25¢-4¢
    8Above 850 thousand
    13%
    13¢-4¢
    9Above 860 thousand
    11¢-4¢
    10Above 870 thousand
    9¢-4¢
    11Above 880 thousand
    9¢-4¢
    12Above 890 thousand
    6¢-4¢
    13Above 900 thousand
    6¢-4¢
    14Above 910 thousand
    5¢+2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2028

    ~444 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    14
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $14.3K

    Whale Activity

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