US Election

    Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?

    ↓ 2% leads by 1 pt · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. ↓ 2%#119%
    2. ↑ 5%#218%
    3. ↑ 6%#313%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $16.0K
    24h
    $338
    Candidates
    3
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 3 markets

    Who’s winning

    • ↓ 2%19%
    • ↑ 5%18%
    • ↑ 6%13%
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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. ↓ 2%24h
      ▼ 6¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    ↓ 2%$5.5K vol19%▼ 6Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US20¢21¢ after fees
    ↑ 5%$5.3K vol18%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US19¢20¢ after fees
    ↑ 6%$5.1K vol13%▲ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US14¢14¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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