California voter ID referendum passes?
Proposition 5 leads by 77 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+
Proposition 5#1Proposition 5100%- Proposition 4#2Proposition 423%▼ 12
- Proposition 42#3Proposition 425%▼ 1
- Resolves
- Nov 3, 2026
- Volume
- $125.8K
- 24h
- $1.9K
- Liquidity
- $10.2K
- Candidates
- 3
2 venues · 13 marketsWho’s winning
Top 3, each at its busiest venue- Proposition 5100%
- Proposition 423%
- Proposition 425%
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Signals
2 signals- Proposition 424h▼ 12¢ in 24h
- Proposition 4224h96¢ apart across venues
Every candidate, every venue
2 venuesYes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.
Where venues disagree
Yes price- Proposition 4296¢buy
- Polymarket (global)
- Kalshi
- Consensus
Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.
Smart money
Biggest tradesLoading trades…
In the news
How each venue settles it
Kalshi
If Proposition 42 passes in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules on Kalshi ↗Polymarket (global)
The California voter ID initiative is a proposed statewide ballot measure for the California general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would require voters to present government-issued identification in California elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID re…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
The California voter ID initiative is a proposed statewide ballot measure for the California general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would require voters to present government-issued identification in California elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”. If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.
- Category
- Politics
- Resolves
- Tue, November 3, 2026
Compared across 2 venues