California's 4th District margin of victory

    California's 4th District margin of victory Live odds across 6 markets: Mike Thompson, 5+ pts at 57¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    California's 4th District margin of victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $200

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    57¢

    Mike Thompson, 5+ pts

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Mike Thompson, 25+ pts

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets · Showing 6
    #
    157¢57¢
    $200
    -5¢
    238¢38¢
    $0
    -5¢
    325¢25¢
    $0
    -5¢
    415¢15¢
    $0
    -5¢
    5
    $0
    -5¢
    6
    $0
    -4¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Mike Thompson, 5+ pts
    57%
    57¢-5¢
    2Mike Thompson, 10+ pts
    38%
    38¢-5¢
    3Mike Thompson, 15+ pts
    25%
    25¢-5¢
    4Mike Thompson, 20+ pts
    15%
    15¢-5¢
    5Mike Thompson, 25+ pts
    -5¢
    6Mike Thompson, 30+ pts
    -4¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~50 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $200

    Whale Activity

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