TRADING OPEN

    California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $23.2K

    +$1.7K (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    66¢

    No 1% to 100%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -6¢

    No 22% to 100%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets
    #
    1
    No 1% to 100%
    		66¢66¢
    $6.7K
    		-4¢—
    2
    No 4% to 100%📈 Trending
    		49¢49¢
    $5.1K+$1.0K 24h
    		-1¢—
    3
    No 7% to 100% Hot
    		32¢32¢
    $2.3K+$200 24h
    		-3¢—
    4
    No 10% to 100%📈 Trending
    		26¢26¢
    $1.1K+$502 24h
    		-4¢—
    5
    No 13% to 100%
    		24¢24¢
    $400
    		-5¢—
    6
    No 16% to 100%
    		19¢19¢
    $600
    		-5¢—
    7
    No 19% to 100% Hot
    		16¢16¢
    $203+$1 24h
    		-4¢—
    8
    No 22% to 100%
    		7¢7¢
    $6.7K
    		-6¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1No 1% to 100%
    66%
    66¢-4¢
    2No 4% to 100%
    49%
    49¢-1¢
    3No 7% to 100%
    32%
    32¢-3¢
    4No 10% to 100%
    26%
    26¢-4¢
    5No 13% to 100%
    24%
    24¢-5¢
    6No 16% to 100%
    19%
    19¢-5¢
    7No 19% to 100%
    16%
    16¢-4¢
    8No 22% to 100%
    7¢-6¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~13 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $23.2K

    Whale Activity

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