TRADING OPEN

    California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

    Proposition 38 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow $8.4 billion in debt to research immune system-based technologies for treating conditions including cancer, heart disease and Alzheimer’s. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $34.4K

    +$520 (24h)

    Active Markets

    13

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    91¢

    Proposition 3

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -30¢

    California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    13 markets
    #
    191¢91¢—
    $2.3K
    -6¢—
    290¢90¢—
    $510
    -10¢—
    3
    Proposition 42📈 Trending
    76¢76¢—
    $2.5K+$41 24h
    -9¢—
    466¢87¢45¢
    $6.0K
    -16¢
    10¢ if
    562¢68¢57¢
    $3.7K
    -22¢—
    661¢61¢—
    $5.2K
    -21¢—
    759¢59¢46¢
    $434+$277 24h
    -30¢—
    853¢53¢—
    $3.6K
    -24¢—
    927¢27¢—
    $477+$2 24h
    -14¢—
    1025¢25¢—
    $4.0K+$199 24h
    ——
    1125¢25¢—
    $1.7K
    -24¢—
    1223¢23¢—
    $543
    -22¢—
    1313¢13¢—
    $3.5K
    -12¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Proposition 37
    66%
    66¢-16¢
    2Proposition 1
    62%
    62¢-22¢
    3California Public Campaign Financing Proposition
    59%
    59¢-30¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~20 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    13
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $34.4K

    Whale Activity

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