California Governor Election Margin of Victory
Becerra 15-20% and Becerra 20-25% are level · 4 candidates at 5%+
Becerra 15-20%#1Becerra 15-20%7%▼ 5- Becerra 20-25%#2Becerra 20-25%7%▼ 6
- Becerra 0-5%#3Becerra 0-5%5%▼ 5
- Resolves
- Jan 14, 2027
- Volume
- $18.2K
- 24h
- $0
- Liquidity
- $14.0K
- Candidates
- 9
2 venues · 10 marketsWho’s winning
Top 5, each at its busiest venue- Becerra 15-20%7%
- Becerra 20-25%7%
- Becerra 0-5%5%
- Becerra 5-10%5%
- Becerra 10-15%4%
Polymarket USCFTC-regulatedDeposit $10, get $25
Trading bonus for new sign-ups.
Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER
Signals
3 signals- Becerra 20-25%24h▼ 6¢ in 24h
- Becerra 15-20%24h▼ 5¢ in 24h
- Becerra 0-5%24h▼ 5¢ in 24h
Every candidate, every venue
2 venues
Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.
Smart money
Biggest tradesLoading trades…
In the news
How each venue settles it
Polymarket (global)
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by ea…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Category
- Politics
- Resolves
- Thu, January 14, 2027
Compared across 2 venues