TRADING OPEN

    California Governor Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $14.8K

    +$40 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    35¢

    Becerra 25-30%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Becerra 15-20%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    1
    Becerra 25-30%
    		35¢35¢
    $2.7K
    		-1¢—
    2
    Becerra 20-25%
    		32¢32¢
    $2.6K
    		-1¢—
    3
    Becerra 15-20%📈 Trending
    		19¢19¢
    $2.2K+$40 24h
    		-5¢—
    4
    Becerra 30-35%
    		5¢5¢
    $1.3K
    		-4¢—
    5
    Becerra 10-15%
    		5¢5¢
    $1.3K
    		-2¢—
    6
    Becerra 35-40%
    		5¢5¢
    $1.3K
    		-3¢—
    7
    Becerra 0-10%
    		1¢1¢
    $988
    		-1¢—
    8
    Hilton Wins
    		1¢1¢
    $1.1K
    		——
    9
    Becerra 40%+
    		0¢0¢
    $1.3K
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Becerra 25-30%
    35%
    35¢-1¢
    2Becerra 20-25%
    32%
    32¢-1¢
    3Becerra 15-20%
    19%
    19¢-5¢
    4Becerra 30-35%
    5¢-4¢
    5Becerra 10-15%
    5¢-2¢
    6Becerra 35-40%
    5¢-3¢
    7Becerra 0-10%
    1¢-1¢
    8Hilton Wins
    1¢—
    9Becerra 40%+
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~20 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $14.8K

    Whale Activity

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