CA-16 House Election Margin of Victory

    CA-16 House Election Margin of Victory Live odds across 10 markets: Democrat 35-40% at 38¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
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    CA-16 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $6

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    38¢

    Democrat 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -36¢

    Democrat 35-40%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets · Showing 10
    #
    138¢38¢
    $0
    -36¢
    238¢38¢
    $0
    -35¢
    335¢35¢
    $0
    -32¢
    434¢34¢
    $0
    -32¢
    534¢34¢
    $0
    -31¢
    633¢33¢
    $0
    -30¢
    732¢32¢
    $6
    -29¢
    832¢32¢
    $0
    -29¢
    931¢31¢
    $0
    -28¢
    1031¢31¢
    $0
    -28¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 35-40%
    38%
    38¢-36¢
    2Democrat 40-45%
    38%
    38¢-35¢
    3Democrat 45-50%
    35%
    35¢-32¢
    4Democrat 60-65%
    34%
    34¢-32¢
    5Democrat 25-35%
    34%
    34¢-31¢
    6Democrat 55-60%
    33%
    33¢-30¢
    7Republican Wins
    32%
    32¢-29¢
    8Democrat 65%+
    32%
    32¢-29¢
    9Democrat 0-25%
    31%
    31¢-28¢
    10Democrat 50-55%
    31%
    31¢-28¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~50 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $6

    Whale Activity

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