TRADING OPEN

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

Resolves Oct 25, 2026

More Global Elections odds

Total Volume

$128.9K

+$17.2K (24h)

Active Markets

Across 1 platform

Frontrunner

36¢

Flávio Bolsonaro 0% to 3%

Biggest Mover 24h

-8¢

Flávio Bolsonaro 3% to 6%

Arb Opportunities

None detected

All Markets

8 markets

#
1	Flávio Bolsonaro 0% to 3%	36¢	36¢	$33.1K+$5.5K 24h	+5¢	—
2	Flávio Bolsonaro 3% to 6%	30¢	30¢	$24.4K+$6.0K 24h	-8¢	—
3	Lula da Silva 0% to 3%📈 Trending	18¢	18¢	$17.4K+$3.2K 24h	-4¢	—
4	Flávio Bolsonaro 6% to 9%	12¢	12¢	$20.6K+$563 24h	-2¢	—
5	Flávio Bolsonaro 9% to 100%📈 Trending	3¢	3¢	$17.3K+$755 24h	-1¢	—
6	Lula da Silva 3% to 6%	3¢	3¢	$10.5K+$1.2K 24h	—	—
7	Lula da Silva 6% to 9%	1¢	1¢	$2.8K	—	—
8	Lula da Silva 9% to 100%	1¢	1¢	$2.8K	—	—

Implied Probability

Consensus across platforms

1Flávio Bolsonaro 0% to 3%

36%

36¢+5¢

2Flávio Bolsonaro 3% to 6%

30%

30¢-8¢

3Lula da Silva 0% to 3%

18%

18¢-4¢

4Flávio Bolsonaro 6% to 9%

12%

12¢-2¢

5Flávio Bolsonaro 9% to 100%

3¢-1¢

6Lula da Silva 3% to 6%

3¢—

7Lula da Silva 6% to 9%

1¢—

8Lula da Silva 9% to 100%

1¢—

Event Info

Resolution Date

~Oct 25, 2026

~4 days remaining

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

All Markets

Implied Probability

Event Info

Whale Activity