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    Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

    The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from voters abroad, meaning votes cast outside Brazil and reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under “Exterior”. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won abroad. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

    Resolves Oct 25, 2026
    Total Volume

    $131.5K

    +$2.6K (24h)

    Active Markets

    2

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    69¢

    Lula

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    Flavio Bolsonaro

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    2 markets
    #
    169¢69¢67¢
    $76.2K+$1.3K 24h
    -1¢—
    231¢31¢35¢
    $55.3K+$1.4K 24h
    -2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Lula
    69%
    69¢-1¢
    2Flavio Bolsonaro
    31%
    31¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 25, 2026

    ~5 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    2
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $131.5K

    Whale Activity

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