Music

    Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 21

    you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love leads by 22 pts · 3 outcomes at 5%+

    1. you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love#161%
    2. FRESH#239%
    3. Thriller#38%
    #4 O My Beloved - Kings of Leon1%#5 Stick Season - Noah Kahan1%+12 more
    Resolves
    Dec 1, 2026
    Volume
    $8.9K
    24h
    $5.1K
    Liquidity
    $2.6K
    Outcomes
    17
    Polymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi3 venues · 17 markets

    Who’s winning

    • you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love61%
    • FRESH39%
    • Thriller8%
    • O My Beloved - Kings of Leon1%
    • Stick Season - Noah Kahan1%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    4 signals
    1. FRESH24h
      ▼ 50¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. The Life Of A Showgirl - Taylor Swift24h
      ▼ 11¢ in 24h
    3. SOS - SZA24h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24h
    4. you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love24h
      52¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love$3.3K vol · 52¢ apart61%▼ 4Polymarket US16¢fee unknown
    FRESH$4.5K vol39%▼ 50kalshi43¢45¢ after fees
    Thriller$0 vol8%▼ 7kalshi15¢16¢ after fees
    O My Beloved - Kings of Leon$175 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Stick Season - Noah Kahan$0 vol1%—Polymarket US1¢fee unknown
    Dandelion - Ella Langley$0 vol1%—Polymarket US1¢fee unknown
    The Great Divide - Noah Kahan$0 vol1%—Polymarket US1¢fee unknown
    Young Manhood And Other Donatable Organs - Zach Bryan$0 vol1%—Polymarket US1¢fee unknown
    The Art Of Loving - Olivia Dean$0 vol1%—Polymarket US1¢fee unknown
    The Life Of A Showgirl - Taylor Swift$0 vol1%▼ 11Polymarket US1¢fee unknown

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love52¢buy Polymarket US
    • FRESH3¢buy kalshi
    • Polymarket US
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Billboard #1 Album Week of November 21?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of November 21, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on t…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    kalshiKalshi

    If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love is #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗

    About this market

    Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of November 21, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Tue, December 1, 2026
    Polymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiCompared across 3 venues

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