TRADING OPEN

    Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

    This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

    Resolves Oct 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $264.8K

    +$7.5K (24h)

    Active Markets

    11

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    67¢

    Xiaomi

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +6¢

    Xiaomi

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    11 markets
    #
    167¢67¢67¢
    $37.7K+$2.5K 24h
    +6¢—
    215¢16¢13¢
    $52.1K+$946 24h
    ——
    39¢9¢11¢
    $65.6K+$500 24h
    -1¢—
    45¢5¢4¢
    $22.4K+$1.7K 24h
    -2¢—
    52¢2¢3¢
    $14.3K+$266 24h
    -1¢—
    62¢2¢2¢
    $15.7K+$243 24h
    -1¢—
    71¢1¢2¢
    $12.8K+$323 24h
    ——
    81¢1¢2¢
    $10.9K+$230 24h
    ——
    91¢1¢2¢
    $14.1K+$529 24h
    ——
    100¢0¢—
    $12.0K+$134 24h
    ——
    110¢0¢—
    $7.2K+$100 24h
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Xiaomi
    67%
    67¢+6¢
    2Moonshot
    15%
    15¢—
    3Alibaba
    9¢-1¢
    4Z.ai
    5¢-2¢
    5DeepSeek
    2¢-1¢
    6MiniMax
    2¢-1¢
    7Baidu
    1¢—
    8Tencent
    1¢—
    9ByteDance
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 31, 2026

    ~10 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    11
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $264.8K

    Whale Activity

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