TRADING OPEN

    Base iPhone 18 released by...?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Resolves Apr 30, 2027
    Total Volume

    $5.1M

    +$10.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    88¢

    April 30, 2027

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    February 28, 2027

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 open
    #
    1
    —
    April 30, 2027📈 Trending
    88¢—88¢
    $2.7K
    -2¢—
    285¢85¢70¢
    $18.6K+$6 24h
    -1¢
    9¢
    314¢14¢11¢
    $54.1K+$31 24h
    -2¢
    2¢
    44¢4¢—
    $65.7K
    -1¢—
    5
    Before 2027📈 Trending
    3¢3¢—
    $1.5M+$10.1K 24h
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1March 31, 2027
    85%
    85¢-1¢
    2February 28, 2027
    14%
    14¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Apr 30, 2027

    ~192 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $5.1M

    Whale Activity

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