TRADING OPEN

    Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $141.3K

    +$76.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    30

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    69¢

    Kylian Mbappé

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -17¢

    João Neves

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    30 markets
    #
    169¢69¢
    $33.4K+$18.6K 24h
    -2¢—
    252¢52¢
    $134
    -17¢—
    352¢52¢
    $97
    -17¢—
    418¢18¢
    $127
    -6¢—
    518¢18¢
    $97
    -6¢—
    618¢18¢
    $127
    -6¢—
    718¢18¢
    $97
    -6¢—
    816¢16¢
    $46.0K+$26.4K 24h
    +3¢—
    914¢14¢
    $856
    -10¢—
    1012¢12¢
    $10.2K+$5.1K 24h
    -5¢—
    115¢5¢
    $10.1K+$6.9K 24h
    +1¢—
    122¢2¢
    $605
    -2¢—
    132¢2¢
    $50
    -2¢—
    142¢2¢
    $7.4K+$3.4K 24h
    -3¢—
    152¢2¢
    $50
    -1¢—
    162¢2¢
    $50
    -1¢—
    171¢1¢
    $2.5K+$517 24h
    -1¢—
    181¢1¢
    $50
    -1¢—
    191¢1¢
    $50
    -1¢—
    201¢1¢
    $105
    -1¢—
    211¢1¢
    $6.8K+$4.0K 24h
    ——
    221¢1¢
    $1.3K
    ——
    231¢1¢
    $60
    ——
    241¢1¢
    $50
    ——
    251¢1¢
    $930
    ——
    261¢1¢
    $630
    ——
    271¢1¢
    $50
    ——
    280¢0¢
    $6.6K+$4.4K 24h
    ——
    290¢0¢
    $5.8K+$3.6K 24h
    ——
    300¢0¢
    $7.0K+$3.4K 24h
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Kylian Mbappé
    69%
    69¢-2¢
    2João Neves
    52%
    52¢-17¢
    3Nuno Mendes
    52%
    52¢-17¢
    4Ferran Torres
    18%
    18¢-6¢
    5William Saliba
    18%
    18¢-6¢
    6Willian Pacho
    18%
    18¢-6¢
    7Dayot Upamecano
    18%
    18¢-6¢
    8Lamine Yamal
    16%
    16¢+3¢
    9Erling Haaland
    14%
    14¢-10¢
    10Harry Kane
    12%
    12¢-5¢
    11Lionel Messi
    5¢+1¢
    12Vinícius Júnior
    2¢-2¢
    13Bruno Fernandes
    2¢-2¢
    14Rodri
    2¢-3¢
    15Gabriel Magalhães
    2¢-1¢
    16Marc Cucurella
    2¢-1¢
    17Michael Olise
    1¢-1¢
    18Sadio Mané
    1¢-1¢
    19Marquinhos
    1¢-1¢
    20Achraf Hakimi
    1¢-1¢
    21Ousmane Dembélé
    1¢—
    22Vitinha
    1¢—
    23Julián Quiñones
    1¢—
    24Lautaro Martinez
    1¢—
    25Jude Bellingham
    1¢—
    26Declan Rice
    1¢—
    27Luis Diaz
    1¢—
    28Fabian Ruiz
    0¢—
    29Pau Cubarsi
    0¢—
    30Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Sports
    Markets
    30
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $141.3K

    Whale Activity

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