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    AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $13.9K

    +$363 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    27¢

    Republican 15-20%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -11¢

    Republican 15-20%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    127¢27¢
    $3.0K+$57 24h
    -11¢—
    223¢23¢
    $3.9K+$249 24h
    +2¢—
    320¢20¢
    $2.4K+$30 24h
    +7¢—
    45¢5¢
    $616
    ——
    55¢5¢
    $1.5K
    -4¢—
    65¢5¢
    $528
    -4¢—
    74¢4¢
    $1.2K+$28 24h
    ——
    83¢3¢
    $509
    ——
    91¢1¢
    $299
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 15-20%
    27%
    27¢-11¢
    2Republican 20-25%
    23%
    23¢+2¢
    3Republican 10-15%
    20%
    20¢+7¢
    4Republican 35%+
    5¢—
    5Republican 5-10%
    5¢-4¢
    6Republican 25-30%
    5¢-4¢
    7Democrat Wins
    4¢—
    8Republican 30-35%
    3¢—
    9Republican 0-5%
    1¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $13.9K

    Whale Activity

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