TRADING OPEN

    AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $11.2K

    +$77 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    33¢

    Democrat 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -8¢

    Democrat 45-50%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 35-40%
    		33¢33¢
    $1.9K
    		——
    2
    Democrat 30-35%
    		28¢28¢
    $2.8K
    		-1¢—
    3
    Democrat 20-25%
    		16¢16¢
    $1.0K
    		-1¢—
    4
    Democrat 45-50% Hot
    		14¢14¢
    $701+$77 24h
    		-8¢—
    5
    Democrat 40-45%
    		9¢9¢
    $2.3K
    		-6¢—
    6
    Democrat 25-30%
    		8¢8¢
    $1.0K
    		-6¢—
    7
    Democrat 50%+ Hot
    		0¢0¢
    $435
    		——
    8
    Republican Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $386
    		——
    9
    Democrat 10-20%
    		0¢0¢
    $315
    		——
    10
    Democrat 0-10%
    		0¢0¢
    $363
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 35-40%
    33%
    33¢—
    2Democrat 30-35%
    28%
    28¢-1¢
    3Democrat 20-25%
    16%
    16¢-1¢
    4Democrat 45-50%
    14%
    14¢-8¢
    5Democrat 40-45%
    9¢-6¢
    6Democrat 25-30%
    8¢-6¢
    7Democrat 50%+
    0¢—
    8Republican Wins
    0¢—
    9Democrat 10-20%
    0¢—
    10Democrat 0-10%
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~20 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $11.2K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...