TRADING OPEN

    AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $13.9K

    +$1.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    Democrat 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -11¢

    Democrat 20-25%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    128¢28¢
    $2.2K+$130 24h
    -9¢—
    227¢27¢
    $4.0K+$1.3K 24h
    +7¢—
    323¢23¢
    $3.0K+$40 24h
    -3¢—
    415¢15¢
    $838
    -5¢—
    59¢9¢
    $1.0K
    ——
    62¢2¢
    $680
    -2¢—
    72¢2¢
    $1.0K
    -11¢—
    80¢0¢
    $405
    ——
    90¢0¢
    $334
    ——
    100¢0¢
    $382
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 35-40%
    28%
    28¢-9¢
    2Democrat 40-45%
    27%
    27¢+7¢
    3Democrat 30-35%
    23%
    23¢-3¢
    4Democrat 45-50%
    15%
    15¢-5¢
    5Democrat 25-30%
    9¢—
    6Democrat 50%+
    2¢-2¢
    7Democrat 20-25%
    2¢-11¢
    8Republican Wins
    0¢—
    9Democrat 10-20%
    0¢—
    10Democrat 0-10%
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $13.9K

    Whale Activity

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