TRADING OPEN

    AZ-06 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $15.6K

    +$978 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    22¢

    Democrat 3-6%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +6¢

    Democrat 12-15%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 3-6% Hot
    		22¢22¢
    $2.7K+$200 24h
    		——
    2
    Democrat 12-15%
    		19¢19¢
    $1.7K+$91 24h
    		+6¢—
    3
    Democrat 6-9%
    		17¢17¢
    $3.0K
    		——
    4
    Democrat 0-3% Hot
    		14¢14¢
    $3.0K+$321 24h
    		——
    5
    Democrat 9-12% Hot
    		12¢12¢
    $1.3K
    		-2¢—
    6
    Republican 0-3%
    		10¢10¢
    $899
    		——
    7
    Democrat 18%+ Hot
    		2¢2¢
    $542+$150 24h
    		-1¢—
    8
    Democrat 15-18% Hot
    		1¢1¢
    $770+$215 24h
    		——
    9
    Republican 3-6%
    		1¢1¢
    $992
    		——
    10
    Republican 6%+
    		1¢1¢
    $778
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 3-6%
    22%
    22¢—
    2Democrat 12-15%
    19%
    19¢+6¢
    3Democrat 6-9%
    17%
    17¢—
    4Democrat 0-3%
    14%
    14¢—
    5Democrat 9-12%
    12%
    12¢-2¢
    6Republican 0-3%
    10¢—
    7Democrat 18%+
    2¢-1¢
    8Democrat 15-18%
    1¢—
    9Republican 3-6%
    1¢—
    10Republican 6%+
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $15.6K

    Whale Activity

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