TRADING OPEN

    AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $11.0K

    +$220 (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    25¢

    Republican 5-10%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -23¢

    Republican 5-10%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 5-10%
    		25¢25¢
    $2.5K+$60 24h
    		-23¢—
    2
    Republican 10-15%
    		25¢25¢
    $2.1K
    		——
    3
    Republican 15-20%
    		16¢16¢
    $1.9K
    		——
    4
    Republican 20-25%
    		13¢13¢
    $491+$40 24h
    		-5¢—
    5
    Republican 0-5%
    		8¢8¢
    $2.6K
    		-7¢—
    6
    Republican 25%+
    		5¢5¢
    $365
    		-2¢—
    7
    Democrat 0-5%
    		4¢4¢
    $765+$120 24h
    		-9¢—
    8
    Democrat 5%+
    		1¢1¢
    $333
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 5-10%
    25%
    25¢-23¢
    2Republican 10-15%
    25%
    25¢—
    3Republican 15-20%
    16%
    16¢—
    4Republican 20-25%
    13%
    13¢-5¢
    5Republican 0-5%
    8¢-7¢
    6Republican 25%+
    5¢-2¢
    7Democrat 0-5%
    4¢-9¢
    8Democrat 5%+
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~28 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $11.0K

    Whale Activity

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