AZ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
AZ-04 House Election Margin of Victory Live odds across 9 markets: Democrat 10-15% at 33¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
- Republican Wins: Yes 21¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 15-20%: Yes 25¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 10-15%: Yes 33¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 25-30%: Yes 20¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 35%+: Yes 28¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 0-5%: Yes 26¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 5-10%: Yes 30¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 20-25%: Yes 22¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 30-35%: Yes 20¢ (polymarket)
TRADING OPEN
8sAZ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Total Volume
$237
+$0 (24h)
Active Markets
9
Across 1 platforms
Frontrunner
33¢
Democrat 10-15%
Biggest Mover 24h
-22¢
Democrat 0-5%
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Democrat 10-15% Hot | 33¢ | 33¢ | $20 | -9¢ | — |
| 2 | Democrat 5-10% Hot | 30¢ | 30¢ | $20 | -9¢ | — |
| 3 | Democrat 35%+ Hot | 28¢ | 28¢ | $20 | -16¢ | — |
| 4 | Democrat 0-5% Hot | 26¢ | 26¢ | $20 | -22¢ | — |
| 5 | Democrat 15-20% Hot | 25¢ | 25¢ | $20 | -18¢ | — |
| 6 | Democrat 20-25% Hot | 22¢ | 22¢ | $20 | -15¢ | — |
| 7 |  Republican Wins Hot | 21¢ | 21¢ | $20 | -17¢ | — |
| 8 | Democrat 25-30% Hot | 20¢ | 20¢ | $39 | -5¢ | — |
| 9 | Democrat 30-35%📈 Trending | 20¢ | 20¢ | $59 | -19¢ | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsEvent Info
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