TRADING OPEN

    AZ-01 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $16.5K

    +$365 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    27¢

    Republican 3-6%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +19¢

    Republican 3-6%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    127¢27¢
    $497
    +19¢—
    220¢20¢
    $2.1K
    -1¢—
    315¢15¢
    $2.0K+$344 24h
    ——
    412¢12¢
    $2.4K
    +1¢—
    59¢9¢
    $1.4K
    -5¢—
    67¢7¢
    $613
    -4¢—
    75¢5¢
    $580
    -5¢—
    85¢5¢
    $325+$21 24h
    -2¢—
    95¢5¢
    $3.9K
    -4¢—
    103¢3¢
    $2.6K
    -6¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 3-6%
    27%
    27¢+19¢
    2Democrat 3-6%
    20%
    20¢-1¢
    3Democrat 6-9%
    15%
    15¢—
    4Democrat 9-12%
    12%
    12¢+1¢
    5Democrat 0-3%
    9¢-5¢
    6Democrat 12-15%
    7¢-4¢
    7Republican 0-3%
    5¢-5¢
    8Democrat 18%+
    5¢-2¢
    9Democrat 15-18%
    5¢-4¢
    10Republican 6%+
    3¢-6¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $16.5K

    Whale Activity

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