Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

    Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September? Live odds across 7 markets: 0-5 at 60¢. Resolves Sep 30, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Sep 30, 2026

    • 0-5: Yes 60¢ (polymarket)
    • 20-25: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    • 5-10: Yes 28¢ (polymarket)
    • 15-20: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    • 25-30: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
    • 30+: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    • 10-15: Yes 3¢ (polymarket)
    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

    Resolves Sep 30, 2026
    Total Volume

    $29.2K

    +$1.8K (24h)

    Active Markets

    7

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    60¢

    0-5

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    0-5

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    7 markets · Showing 7
    #
    1
    0-5
    		60¢60¢
    $7.7K+$786 24h
    		-5¢—
    2
    5-10
    		28¢28¢
    $6.8K+$206 24h
    		——
    3
    10-15
    		3¢3¢
    $4.4K+$0 24h
    		——
    4
    15-20
    		1¢1¢
    $1.8K+$145 24h
    		——
    5
    20-25
    		1¢1¢
    $1.6K+$420 24h
    		——
    6
    30+
    		1¢1¢
    $1.4K+$145 24h
    		——
    7
    25-30
    		0¢0¢
    $5.4K+$145 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    10-5
    60%
    60¢-5¢
    25-10
    28%
    28¢—
    310-15
    3¢—
    415-20
    1¢—
    520-25
    1¢—
    630+
    1¢—
    725-30
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Sep 30, 2026

    ~17 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    7
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $29.2K

    Whale Activity

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