TRADING OPEN

    Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $13.4K

    +$70 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    33¢

    Republican 10-15%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -15¢

    Republican 5-10%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 10-15%
    		33¢33¢
    $2.8K
    		——
    2
    Republican 15-20%
    		24¢24¢
    $4.4K+$50 24h
    		-1¢—
    3
    Republican 5-10%📈 Trending
    		18¢18¢
    $1.1K+$20 24h
    		-15¢—
    4
    Republican 20-25%
    		12¢12¢
    $860
    		-10¢—
    5
    Republican 0-5%
    		10¢10¢
    $749
    		-8¢—
    6
    Republican 25-30%
    		7¢7¢
    $733
    		-4¢—
    7
    Democrat Wins
    		6¢6¢
    $980
    		——
    8
    Republican 40%+
    		4¢4¢
    $578
    		-4¢—
    9
    Republican 30-35%
    		4¢4¢
    $689
    		-2¢—
    10
    Republican 35-40%
    		4¢4¢
    $672
    		-4¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 10-15%
    33%
    33¢—
    2Republican 15-20%
    24%
    24¢-1¢
    3Republican 5-10%
    18%
    18¢-15¢
    4Republican 20-25%
    12%
    12¢-10¢
    5Republican 0-5%
    10¢-8¢
    6Republican 25-30%
    7¢-4¢
    7Democrat Wins
    6¢—
    8Republican 40%+
    4¢-4¢
    9Republican 30-35%
    4¢-2¢
    10Republican 35-40%
    4¢-4¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~19 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $13.4K

    Whale Activity

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