TRADING OPEN

    Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $14.2K

    +$373 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    34¢

    Republican 10-15%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    Republican 0-5%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 10-15%
    		34¢34¢
    $2.9K+$10 24h
    		-1¢—
    2
    Republican 15-20%
    		22¢22¢
    $4.5K+$143 24h
    		-5¢—
    3
    Republican 5-10%📈 Trending
    		20¢20¢
    $1.3K+$65 24h
    		-7¢—
    4
    Republican 20-25% Hot
    		13¢13¢
    $915+$15 24h
    		-8¢—
    5
    Republican 0-5% Hot
    		10¢10¢
    $829+$65 24h
    		-9¢—
    6
    Republican 25-30% Hot
    		8¢8¢
    $753+$10 24h
    		-5¢—
    7
    Democrat Wins Hot
    		6¢6¢
    $1.0K+$15 24h
    		-1¢—
    8
    Republican 30-35% Hot
    		4¢4¢
    $704+$5 24h
    		-2¢—
    9
    Republican 40%+ Hot
    		3¢3¢
    $619+$31 24h
    		——
    10
    Republican 35-40% Hot
    		2¢2¢
    $696+$14 24h
    		-2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 10-15%
    34%
    34¢-1¢
    2Republican 15-20%
    22%
    22¢-5¢
    3Republican 5-10%
    20%
    20¢-7¢
    4Republican 20-25%
    13%
    13¢-8¢
    5Republican 0-5%
    10¢-9¢
    6Republican 25-30%
    8¢-5¢
    7Democrat Wins
    6¢-1¢
    8Republican 30-35%
    4¢-2¢
    9Republican 40%+
    3¢—
    10Republican 35-40%
    2¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $14.2K

    Whale Activity

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