TRADING OPEN

    Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $15.1K

    +$558 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    31¢

    Republican 15-20%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -17¢

    Republican 0-5%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 15-20%📈 Trending
    		31¢31¢
    $4.6K+$360 24h
    		——
    2
    Republican 10-15%
    		23¢23¢
    $1.2K+$14 24h
    		-1¢—
    3
    Republican 20-25%
    		22¢22¢
    $2.3K+$91 24h
    		-7¢—
    4
    Republican 5-10%
    		12¢12¢
    $1.0K+$14 24h
    		+2¢—
    5
    Republican 0-5%
    		4¢4¢
    $921+$8 24h
    		-17¢—
    6
    Democrat Wins
    		4¢4¢
    $1.0K+$14 24h
    		-2¢—
    7
    Republican 25-30% Hot
    		4¢4¢
    $2.0K+$14 24h
    		-2¢—
    8
    Republican 30-35% Hot
    		4¢4¢
    $1.1K+$14 24h
    		-3¢—
    9
    Republican 35%+
    		2¢2¢
    $937+$28 24h
    		-1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 15-20%
    31%
    31¢—
    2Republican 10-15%
    23%
    23¢-1¢
    3Republican 20-25%
    22%
    22¢-7¢
    4Republican 5-10%
    12%
    12¢+2¢
    5Republican 0-5%
    4¢-17¢
    6Democrat Wins
    4¢-2¢
    7Republican 25-30%
    4¢-2¢
    8Republican 30-35%
    4¢-3¢
    9Republican 35%+
    2¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~26 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $15.1K

    Whale Activity

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