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    Argentina Peronist Presidential Nominee

    Argentina's next presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the individual who becomes the presidential candidate of the main Peronist electoral coalition for the 2027 Argentine presidential election. For the purposes of this market, the “main Peronist electoral coalition” is the political party or electoral alliance that includes the Partido Justicialista (PJ) at the national level (as of October 2026, Fuerza Patria). If the PJ contests the presidential election on its own rather than as part of an alliance, the PJ’s presidential candidate will qualify. An individual will be considered the nominee once their candidacy for President has been officially registered by the main Peronist electoral coalition for the first round of the 2027 presidential election and approved (oficializada) by the competent Argentine electoral court. If a primary election is held, an individual who wins the coalition’s presidential primary will qualify only once their candidacy for the first round has been approved. If no presidential candidacy of the main Peronist electoral coalition has been approved for the first round by October 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Any replacement of the nominee after their candidacy has been approved will not change the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Resolves Aug 31, 2027
    Total Volume

    $9.5K

    +$481 (24h)

    Active Markets

    11

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    54¢

    Axel Kicillof

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -7¢

    Sergio Massa

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    11 markets
    #
    154¢51¢54¢
    $1.8K+$481 24h
    -5¢—
    215¢14¢17¢
    $2.3K
    -7¢—
    36¢4¢6¢
    $701+$0 24h
    -1¢—
    46¢6¢—
    $1.0K
    -4¢—
    55¢5¢—
    $334
    -2¢—
    63¢3¢—
    $515
    -1¢—
    72¢2¢—
    $433
    -1¢—
    82¢2¢—
    $682
    -1¢—
    92¢2¢—
    $682
    -1¢—
    102¢2¢—
    $515
    -1¢—
    112¢2¢—
    $515
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Axel Kicillof
    54%
    54¢-5¢
    2Sergio Massa
    15%
    15¢-7¢
    3Cristina Fernández de Kirchner
    6¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Aug 31, 2027

    ~315 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    11
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $9.5K

    Whale Activity

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