AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory Live odds across 10 markets: Republican 45-50% at 26¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
- Republican 40-45%: Yes 25¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 55%+: Yes 21¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 25-30%: Yes 23¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 45-50%: Yes 26¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat Wins: Yes 7¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 30-35%: Yes 20¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 50-55%: Yes 26¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 35-40%: Yes 24¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 15-25%: Yes 25¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 0-15%: Yes 23¢ (polymarket)
TRADING OPEN
8sAR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Total Volume
$218
+$0 (24h)
Active Markets
10
Across 1 platforms
Frontrunner
26¢
Republican 45-50%
Biggest Mover 24h
-28¢
Republican 35-40%
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26¢ | 26¢ | $20 | -27¢ | — | |
| 2 | 26¢ | 26¢ | $20 | -22¢ | — | |
| 3 | 25¢ | 25¢ | $20 | -24¢ | — | |
| 4 | 25¢ | 25¢ | $20 | -15¢ | — | |
| 5 | 24¢ | 24¢ | $20 | -28¢ | — | |
| 6 |  Republican 0-15% Hot | 23¢ | 23¢ | $20 | -25¢ | — |
| 7 | 23¢ | 23¢ | $20 | -23¢ | — | |
| 8 | Republican 55%+ Hot | 21¢ | 21¢ | $20 | -19¢ | — |
| 9 | 20¢ | 20¢ | $20 | -25¢ | — | |
| 10 |  Democrat Wins📈 Trending | 7¢ | 7¢ | $40 | -4¢ | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsEvent Info
Whale Activity
Loading...