TRADING OPEN

    AR-03 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $18.6K

    +$335 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    27¢

    Republican 20-25%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -8¢

    Democrat Wins

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    127¢27¢
    $6.0K+$169 24h
    ——
    225¢25¢
    $3.1K
    -4¢—
    319¢19¢
    $1.6K
    -1¢—
    417¢17¢
    $4.6K
    -1¢—
    57¢7¢
    $475
    -6¢—
    6
    Republican 0-10%📈 Trending
    5¢5¢
    $1.1K+$20 24h
    -8¢—
    74¢4¢
    $449
    -5¢—
    83¢3¢
    $579+$147 24h
    -8¢—
    92¢2¢
    $877
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 20-25%
    27%
    27¢—
    2Republican 15-20%
    25%
    25¢-4¢
    3Republican 10-15%
    19%
    19¢-1¢
    4Republican 25-30%
    17%
    17¢-1¢
    5Republican 30-35%
    7¢-6¢
    6Republican 0-10%
    5¢-8¢
    7Republican 35-40%
    4¢-5¢
    8Democrat Wins
    3¢-8¢
    9Republican 40%+
    2¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $18.6K

    Whale Activity

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