TRADING OPEN

    AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $11.3K

    +$82 (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    Republican 0-5%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -7¢

    Democrat 0-5%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets
    #
    128¢28¢
    $1.5K
    -1¢—
    224¢24¢
    $2.8K+$42 24h
    ——
    321¢21¢
    $1.7K
    -2¢—
    48¢8¢
    $1.6K+$20 24h
    -7¢—
    56¢6¢
    $654
    -6¢—
    65¢5¢
    $1.1K+$20 24h
    -6¢—
    73¢3¢
    $1.5K
    -4¢—
    81¢1¢
    $469
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 0-5%
    28%
    28¢-1¢
    2Republican 5-10%
    24%
    24¢—
    3Republican 10-15%
    21%
    21¢-2¢
    4Democrat 0-5%
    8¢-7¢
    5Republican 20-25%
    6¢-6¢
    6Democrat 5%+
    5¢-6¢
    7Republican 15-20%
    3¢-4¢
    8Republican 25%+
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $11.3K

    Whale Activity

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