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    AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $24.1K

    +$53 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    33¢

    Republican 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -7¢

    Republican 55%+

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 35-40%
    		33¢33¢
    $6.0K
    		——
    2
    Republican 40-45%
    		27¢27¢
    $5.3K
    		——
    3
    Republican 30-35%
    		12¢12¢
    $1.7K+$3 24h
    		-1¢—
    4
    Republican 50-55%
    		6¢6¢
    $1.1K
    		-1¢—
    5
    Republican 25-30%
    		5¢5¢
    $840
    		-4¢—
    6
    Republican 45-50% Hot
    		5¢5¢
    $4.3K+$49 24h
    		-1¢—
    7
    Republican 55%+
    		4¢4¢
    $1.0K
    		-7¢—
    8
    Republican 0-15%
    		2¢2¢
    $2.5K
    		-2¢—
    9
    Republican 15-25%
    		2¢2¢
    $715
    		-2¢—
    10
    Democrat Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $639
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 35-40%
    33%
    33¢—
    2Republican 40-45%
    27%
    27¢—
    3Republican 30-35%
    12%
    12¢-1¢
    4Republican 50-55%
    6¢-1¢
    5Republican 25-30%
    5¢-4¢
    6Republican 45-50%
    5¢-1¢
    7Republican 55%+
    4¢-7¢
    8Republican 0-15%
    2¢-2¢
    9Republican 15-25%
    2¢-2¢
    10Democrat Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~21 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $24.1K

    Whale Activity

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