TRADING OPEN

    AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $26.5K

    +$60 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    33¢

    Republican 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Republican 45-50%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    133¢33¢
    $7.6K+$60 24h
    -4¢—
    227¢27¢
    $5.3K
    ——
    317¢17¢
    $2.2K
    -1¢—
    411¢11¢
    $1.1K
    +1¢—
    58¢8¢
    $4.5K
    -5¢—
    64¢4¢
    $835
    -4¢—
    74¢4¢
    $840
    -4¢—
    84¢4¢
    $1.0K
    -2¢—
    92¢2¢
    $2.5K
    -2¢—
    100¢0¢
    $639
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 35-40%
    33%
    33¢-4¢
    2Republican 40-45%
    27%
    27¢—
    3Republican 30-35%
    17%
    17¢-1¢
    4Republican 50-55%
    11¢+1¢
    5Republican 45-50%
    8¢-5¢
    6Republican 15-25%
    4¢-4¢
    7Republican 25-30%
    4¢-4¢
    8Republican 55%+
    4¢-2¢
    9Republican 0-15%
    2¢-2¢
    10Democrat Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $26.5K

    Whale Activity

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