TRADING OPEN

    American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3

    Resolves Oct 22, 2026
    Total Volume

    $75.4K

    +$5.3K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    94¢

    Above 83.5%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -11¢

    Above 85.5%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Above 83.5% Hot
    		94¢94¢
    $3.1K
    		-1¢—
    2
    Above 84%
    		79¢79¢
    $8.3K
    		——
    3
    Above 84.5%📈 Trending
    		62¢62¢
    $1.9K+$10 24h
    		-1¢—
    4
    Above 85% Hot
    		31¢31¢
    $10.2K+$507 24h
    		-7¢—
    5
    Above 85.5% Hot
    		9¢9¢
    $10.2K+$2.8K 24h
    		-11¢—
    6
    Above 86%
    		7¢7¢
    $5.6K+$1.0K 24h
    		-2¢—
    7
    Above 86.5% Hot
    		4¢4¢
    $6.2K+$1.0K 24h
    		-2¢—
    8
    Above 87% Hot
    		3¢3¢
    $12.8K
    		——
    9
    Above 88%
    		2¢2¢
    $5.7K
    		——
    10
    Above 87.5% Hot
    		2¢2¢
    $11.4K
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Above 83.5%
    94%
    94¢-1¢
    2Above 84%
    79%
    79¢—
    3Above 84.5%
    62%
    62¢-1¢
    4Above 85%
    31%
    31¢-7¢
    5Above 85.5%
    9¢-11¢
    6Above 86%
    7¢-2¢
    7Above 86.5%
    4¢-2¢
    8Above 87%
    3¢—
    9Above 88%
    2¢—
    10Above 87.5%
    2¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 22, 2026

    ~15 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $75.4K

    Whale Activity

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