TRADING OPEN

    American Airlines passenger load factor in fiscal 2026

    Resolves Jan 27, 2027
    Total Volume

    $51.6K

    +$83 (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    91¢

    Above 82%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Above 83%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets
    #
    191¢91¢
    $13.8K
    ——
    283¢83¢
    $11.8K+$1 24h
    -3¢—
    356¢56¢
    $4.3K
    -4¢—
    422¢22¢
    $3.2K
    ——
    511¢11¢
    $1.3K
    ——
    65¢5¢
    $6.4K+$41 24h
    ——
    75¢5¢
    $6.0K+$41 24h
    ——
    82¢2¢
    $4.9K
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Above 82%
    91%
    91¢—
    2Above 82.5%
    83%
    83¢-3¢
    3Above 83%
    56%
    56¢-4¢
    4Above 83.5%
    22%
    22¢—
    5Above 84%
    11¢—
    6Above 85%
    5¢—
    7Above 84.5%
    5¢—
    8Above 85.5%
    2¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 27, 2027

    ~105 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $51.6K

    Whale Activity

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