TRADING OPEN

    Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

    Resolves Apr 30, 2027
    Total Volume

    $25.4K

    +$225 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    99¢

    $170 billion

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    $220 billion

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets
    #
    199¢99¢
    $1.4K
    -1¢—
    296¢96¢
    $6.6K+$169 24h
    -2¢—
    396¢96¢
    $5.9K
    -3¢—
    492¢92¢
    $5.6K
    ——
    581¢81¢
    $3.0K+$37 24h
    ——
    656¢56¢
    $2.8K+$20 24h
    -9¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1$170 billion
    99%
    99¢-1¢
    2$180 billion
    96%
    96¢-2¢
    3$190 billion
    96%
    96¢-3¢
    4$200 billion
    92%
    92¢—
    5$210 billion
    81%
    81¢—
    6$220 billion
    56%
    56¢-9¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Apr 30, 2027

    ~199 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $25.4K

    Whale Activity

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