TRADING OPEN

    Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026

    Resolves Jan 1, 2028
    Total Volume

    $48.3K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    14

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    93¢

    Above 54.5 billion

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Above 59.5 billion

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    14 markets
    #
    193¢93¢
    $12.7K
    -2¢—
    288¢88¢
    $7.0K
    -1¢—
    382¢82¢
    $4.3K
    -3¢—
    477¢77¢
    $454
    -4¢—
    572¢72¢
    $672
    -4¢—
    668¢68¢
    $3.7K
    -4¢—
    761¢61¢
    $180
    -4¢—
    854¢54¢
    $558
    -4¢—
    947¢47¢
    $1.0K
    -4¢—
    1036¢36¢
    $983
    -4¢—
    1129¢29¢
    $1.1K
    -4¢—
    1220¢20¢
    $1.4K
    -4¢—
    1316¢16¢
    $4.4K
    -4¢—
    149¢9¢
    $9.7K
    -2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Above 54.5 billion
    93%
    93¢-2¢
    2Above 55 billion
    88%
    88¢-1¢
    3Above 55.5 billion
    82%
    82¢-3¢
    4Above 56 billion
    77%
    77¢-4¢
    5Above 56.5 billion
    72%
    72¢-4¢
    6Above 57 billion
    68%
    68¢-4¢
    7Above 57.5 billion
    61%
    61¢-4¢
    8Above 58 billion
    54%
    54¢-4¢
    9Above 58.5 billion
    47%
    47¢-4¢
    10Above 59 billion
    36%
    36¢-4¢
    11Above 59.5 billion
    29%
    29¢-4¢
    12Above 60 billion
    20%
    20¢-4¢
    13Above 60.5 billion
    16%
    16¢-4¢
    14Above 61 billion
    9¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2028

    ~452 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    14
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $48.3K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...